{"record":{"author":{"account_ref":null,"orcid":null},"builds_on":[],"content_schema":"pubphys.content.topic/1","content_sha256":"f266be0c88c27978e0b36020f2dad5103d637515551e7e800f975b56feaab496","created":"2026-10-03T07:17:53Z","files":[],"origin":{"assisted_by":[],"kind":"seed"},"parents":[],"salt":"6df41d3fc81bd63b5392c1611ec4c08167f8ff7f6dc95396e03e9b8faed58353","schema":"pubphys.record/2","site":"pubphys.com","target":null,"type":"topic"},"content":{"external_id":"stat.extreme-events-predictability","field":"stat","n":"1","review_cite":"S. Nag Chowdhury, A. Ray, S. K. Dana, D. Ghosh, Extreme events in dynamical systems and random walkers: A review, Physics Reports, 2022","review_link":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2109.11219","review_verified":"true","summary":"Chaotic systems such as the weather amplify small errors, so forecasts fail after a while, and they sometimes produce rare huge events such as rogue waves. Physicists want the ultimate forecast limits and the laws that govern the statistics of the rare extremes.","title":"Extreme events and predictability in chaotic systems","topic_ref":null,"why":"Forecasts of storms, rogue waves, blackouts and market crashes depend on these limits."},"attested":{"attestation":{"batch":null,"client_id":null,"id_token_sha256":null,"kind":"platform"},"record_hash":"3cc2a242217c0631de30c1e7f17b417925702a48deedb658cb354b09c691f239","schema":"pubphys.attested/1"},"envelope":{"attested_hash":"bf397f603ddfdac833cf2c0c72782edf9be6a4c81a5e265828db0bcf3e838a94","platform_signature":{"key_id":"c6afc19b31429869751f06879c75cd64ea92654423d15b44be775bf1310a60da","sig":"2GKOf-JBp66-u__3pxW-YHEyoIJTj1vzy81aQ5OlIaIN8-KpDWALZ1UcGOom-49ma-OWcRv5VQgq6PX_SaxhDQ"},"schema":"pubphys.envelope/1"},"record_hash":"3cc2a242217c0631de30c1e7f17b417925702a48deedb658cb354b09c691f239","leaf_index":351}