Is the low clustering amplitude from weak lensing a real discrepancy? · revision history

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Title
Is the low clustering amplitude from weak lensing a real discrepancy?
Plain
Weak gravitational lensing, the slight distortion of distant galaxy shapes by intervening matter, measures how clumpy matter is today. Some surveys find it less clumpy than the cosmic microwave background predicts and others do not.
Precise
With S8 = sigma8 (Omega_m / 0.3)^0.5, combined Planck, ACT DR6 and SPT-3G give $S8 = 0.836 (+0.012, -0.013)$ in LCDM. KiDS-Legacy agrees within $1\ \sigma$ while DES Y6 is lower by $2.4\ \text{to}\ 2.7\ \sigma$. Determine whether late-time S8 measured to 1 percent differs from the CMB prediction at more than $3\ \sigma$ after photometric-redshift, intrinsic-alignment and shear calibration are validated.
Settled by
Euclid and Rubin LSST cosmic shear with spectroscopic redshift calibration, cross-checked with CMB lensing tomography.
Kind
well-posed
Answer type
yes-no
References
(empty)
Literature status
contested
Status note
2026 status: KiDS-Legacy consistent with the CMB, DES Y6 at $2.4\ \text{to}\ 2.7\,\sigma$ tension.
Posed since
(empty)