GRAV In the literature: open

Does every generic gravitational collapse settle to Kerr black holes?

In plain words

The final state conjecture says that any isolated system eventually becomes a set of Kerr black holes moving apart plus outgoing gravitational radiation. Stability of a single Kerr black hole covers only the small-disturbance part of this claim.

Precise statement

For generic asymptotically flat vacuum (or reasonable matter) initial data in 3+1 dimensions, prove that the maximal development is asymptotically a finite collection of boosted Kerr black holes plus radiation, possibly with a dispersing part. An answer is a proof or a counterexample.

What would settle it

A global theorem on the late-time structure of generic large-data vacuum spacetimes.

See also